Km45 · Weather
Flying forecast Quản Bạ & Đồng Văn
10-day forecast for both flying sites on the Ha Giang Loop: every hour scored by pilots' rules, expert score, thermals, meteogram, airgram, Skew‑T and wind map.
Quản Bạ · Launch 950 m · landing 450 m
Today's flight status
DetailsPick a flying site to see its forecast
ParaglidingParamotorKm45 of the Ha Giang Loop
Quản Bạ
Our main site in the Lùng Tám valley, right below Quản Bạ Heaven Gate. Paragliders take off on foot from a high mountaintop; paramotors take off from the valley floor on the banks of the Miện River and climb thousands of metres.
- Paragliding launch 950 m · landing 450 m
ParaglidingKm150 of the Ha Giang Loop
Đồng Văn
Paragliding right above Đồng Văn Old Quarter, looking out over the Nho Quế River and the UNESCO Global Geopark, then landing in Đồng Văn town.
- Scheduled in advance around the wind — contact us to book
Đồng Văn is paragliding only (no paramotor). Launch coordinates and altitude are provisional (Đồng Văn town) — treat the forecast as a guide.
ParaglidingQuản Bạ flying forecast
10-day forecast
Pick a flying day
Weather analysis
Flying-day assessment
By the numbers
Key figures of the day
- Expert score
- 95/100
- confidence 100%
- Best window
- 08:00–17:00
- 10 green hours · 1 amber · 0 red
- Thermal potential
- 57/100
- moderate · peak 12:00–14:00
- Lowest cloud base
- ~150 m above launch
- thermal top ~1045 m
- Wind at launch (950 m)
- 1.4 m/s
- max 2.3 · gusts 7 m/s
- Wind at flying height 1250 m (+300 m)
- 2.0 m/s
- speedbar from 8 m/s · no flying above 12
- Thunderstorm risk
- 0%
- low
- Rain in the flying window
- No rain
- Sunrise / sunset
- 06:12 · 17:16
- 🌅 great sunset 16:16–16:46
- Temperature
- 11–21°C
Good flying conditions.
- Wind m/s: 1.3 → 2.3 SSW
- Rain: No rain
- Wind at launch (950 m AMSL): 1 m/s
- Wind at 1250 m AMSL (+300 m): 2 m/s
- Inversion: no capping layer
- sunshine hours: 10
- Pressure: 1016 hPa
- Great sunset expected: 16:16–16:46
- Thermal potential: moderate · 57/100 · peak 12:00–14:00 · 7 thermal hours
- Cloud cover: 36%
Weather charts
Hour by hour, layer by layer
Source: ECMWF (Open-Meteo) · updated 14/11, 07:17 · wind m/s
| Today☀ 06:12–17:16 | Sun 15/11☀ 06:13–17:15 | Mon 16/11☀ 06:13–17:15 | Tue 17/11☀ 06:14–17:15 | Wed 18/11☀ 06:15–17:14 | Thu 19/11☀ 06:15–17:14 | Fri 20/11☀ 06:16–17:14 | Sat 21/11☀ 06:17–17:14 | Sun 22/11☀ 06:17–17:14 | Mon 23/11☀ 06:18–17:14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hour | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h | 07h | 08h | 09h | 10h | 11h | 12h | 13h | 14h | 15h | 16h | 17h |
| Sky | ☁️ | ⛅ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ |
| Wind m/s | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Fly? | 😐 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😞 | 😞 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😞 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😞 | 😞 | 😐 | 😐 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😊 | 😐 | 😐 | 😞 | 😞 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😞 | 😞 | 😞 | 😞 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😐 | 😞 |
| Gusts | 5.6 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 6.7 | 7.7 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 9.9 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 9.6 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 7.3 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 7.2 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| Direction | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rain | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ⚡ Storm | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | – | – | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cloud base | 150m | 325m | 587m | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 63m | 188m | 363m | 513m | 600m | – | – | – | – | – | – | 50m | 125m | 238m | 325m | 425m | 500m | 525m | 500m | – | – | 237m | 0m | 150m | 400m | 612m | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 175m | 275m | 450m | 600m | 775m | 912m | 1.0km | 1.1km | 1.1km | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 750m | 725m | 688m | 638m | 475m | 100m | 137m | 200m | 262m | 338m | 388m | 412m | 388m | 337m | 262m | 200m | 188m | 225m | 275m | 313m | 362m | 412m | 437m | 412m | 337m | 262m | 200m | 100m | 125m | 150m | 163m | 175m | 212m | 225m | 200m | 175m | 163m | 137m | 12m | 63m | 125m | 163m | 200m | 250m | 275m | 250m | 238m | 188m | 137m |
| Thermals | very light | very light | light | light | moderate | moderate | moderate | moderate | light | light | very light | very light | very light | light | light | light | light | moderate | light | light | light | very light | very light | very light | light | light | light | light | moderate | moderate | light | light | very light | very light | very light | light | light | moderate | moderate | moderate | moderate | moderate | light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | light | light | light | light | light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | very light | light | light | light | light | very light |
Forecasts are indicative. The pilot decides on site whether to fly or postpone, with safety first; if a flight is postponed for weather you may reschedule or get a refund.
Weather map
Wind, cloud, rain and radar around Quản Bạ
The Windy map is centred on the exact launch coordinates. Switch layers to check low cloud, cloud base, fog or rain radar; switch models to cross-check.
How to read the forecast
Flying rules for the Quản Bạ site
Every hour between 7:00 and 17:00 is rated green / amber / red with the same rules the Mebayluon team uses every day; each reason is listed so you know exactly what spoils the weather. Wind is in m/s — the unit pilots read on the anemometer at launch.
The forecast is a guide; the final decision to fly always belongs to the pilot at launch.
Today's flying statusFlying window 7:00–17:00
All daily figures — best window, rain hours, assessment, expert score — only consider the hours from 7:00 to 17:00.
Surface wind (m/s)
The pilots' scale: below 2 light · 2–4 moderate · 4–6 fresh · 6–8 strong · above 8 very strong. Up to 4 m/s is green, 4–7 m/s marginal, above 7 m/s no flying.
Tailwind behind launch
West, north-west and south-west winds blow from behind the Quản Bạ launch: above 3 m/s means no flying; below 3 m/s you can still take off.
Gusts
Gusts alone do not decide flying or not — 4 m/s gusting 12 is normal in the mountains. Above 16 m/s we warn of strong gusts; above 18 m/s flying is not recommended.
Wind at flying height (+300 m)
Wind at 1250 m AMSL (300 m above launch): from 8 m/s the speedbar must be fitted and you stay low on the slope; above 12 m/s you are easily blown back — no flying.
Rain (mm per hour)
Below 0.4 mm counts as dry; 0.4–0.8 mm is drizzle, noted only; from 0.8 mm it is real rain — flying stops. Colours are not lowered for the model's rain percentage.
Low cloud and fog
Cloud base is estimated from the temperature – dew point spread. Thick low cloud (≥ 70%) with a base less than 150 m above launch means the launch is in cloud — no flying; below 300 m visibility is limited. Humidity ≥ 98% with cloud on the ground is fog.
Thunderstorms are a warning
Thunderstorm risk combines CAPE and the lifted index. From 40% it is a warning — watch the cumulus, stop when cloud bases turn dark; 20–40% is only noted. Harsh thermals drop an hour to marginal because the wing gets rough.
Day rating 😊 😐 😞
A day is 😊 good to fly with at least two consecutive green hours; any other green or amber hour makes it 😐 marginal; a fully red flying window is 😞 rest day.
Expert score 0–100
Nine factors, each with its own curve tuned for tandem passenger flights — smooth scores higher than strong. A dangerous factor caps the whole hour at 20. The day score is the average of the best 3 consecutive hours: from 75 good, 55 fair, 35 limited. It comes with a confidence based on lead time and data completeness.
Thermal potential 0–100
Six factors: sunshine (20), boundary-layer top (45), lapse rate above launch (20), deep stability LI/CAPE (15); upper wind and humidity can only subtract. Below 25 very light · 25–45 light · 45–65 moderate · 65–82 strong · from 82 very strong.
Multiple models
ECMWF by default; switch to ECMWF · GFS · ICON · UKMO · GEM or compare 3 models side by side. Wherever the models disagree, that hour's forecast is uncertain.
